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Message 501199 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:10:56 UTC - in response to Message 501194.  

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question.

The equation was a bonus response :)


Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (whaich are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.


I am fairly certain that the question was "CO2". You know..."why is CO2 causing global warming on Earth, when it is not on Mars, despite there being more CO2 in the atmosphere of Mars?

You didn't ask about the other factors.

Perhaps you could (as I did) look up words in the dictionary that are deviant from your particular area of expertise.


I think this thread is all about Fun With Global Warming. Not just all about CO2.

You may think it's about what you like.


If you don't want to only talk about CO2, don't ask a question about CO2.


That's a very good point. Well done. For now I'll just reflect on being User Of The Day in the Seasonal Attribution Project


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Message 501200 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:11:02 UTC - in response to Message 501193.  

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question.

The equation was a bonus response :)

Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (whaich are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.

... the question was "CO2". You know..."why is CO2 causing global warming on Earth, when it is not on Mars, despite there being more CO2 in the atmosphere of Mars?

You didn't ask about the other factors.

Perhaps you could (as I did) look up words in the dictionary that are deviant from your particular area of expertise.

I think this thread is all about Fun With Global Warming. Not just all about CO2.

You may think it's about what you like.

Most illuminating and quite amusing!

I also see Eric's answer as being very good, beautifully concise, and to the point, and a good eye-opener as to why increasing the CO2 concentration in our atmosphere will undoubtably cause increased heating.

And then I see the FUD squirmings to throw in random buckshot of every jargon shrapnel that can be quickly grasped at to then create a silly ignorant smoke-screen.

Is Global Warming such a fun silly 'game' to some?

Certainly not my kind of fun. There are going to be wars over this. A good question is whether the USA will go nuclear over it... Reducing the population is certainly one fun method...


Thanks to Eric for a clear illustration. Sometimes a few equations can equal many thousands of words.

Regards,
Martin
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Message 501204 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:19:49 UTC - in response to Message 501200.  
Last modified: 11 Jan 2007, 22:20:32 UTC


Most illuminating and quite amusing!

I also see Eric's answer as being very good, beautifully concise, and to the point, and a good eye-opener as to why increasing the CO2 concentration in our atmosphere will undoubtably cause increased heating.

And then I see the FUD squirmings to throw in random buckshot of every jargon shrapnel that can be quickly grasped at to then create a silly ignorant smoke-screen.

Is Global Warming such a fun silly 'game' to some?

Certainly not my kind of fun. There are going to be wars over this. A good question is whether the USA will go nuclear over it... Reducing the population is certainly one fun method...


Thanks to Eric for a clear illustration. Sometimes a few equations can equal many thousands of words.

Regards,
Martin


It's kinda like a customer walking into a tire dealership and asking "what kind of tire is the best tire for stopping a car quickly?"

Dealership names a brand that are the very best.

Customer gets bent because the tire dealership didn't mention anything about the rims so the dealership must have provided a wrong answer.



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Message 501205 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:20:59 UTC - in response to Message 501187.  
Last modified: 11 Jan 2007, 22:35:48 UTC

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question.

The equation was a bonus response :)

Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (which are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.

If you wish to calculate the temperature increase for here on Earth, then you need only additionally add/subtract the warming/cooling effects of those various other constituents that you allude to.

The simple facts are that the greatest significant constituents are CO2 and water vapour. Especially note that the increasing level of CO2 also indirectly increases the water vapour content and so the CO2 warming effect is thus amplified.

All the carbon cycles on Earth have been very nicely kept in balance for hundreds of thousands of years and with good margin to allow for unbalancing influences such as volcanos.

And then came the industrial revolution that has for the first time in all that time upset the carbon balance on an industrial scale. The CO2 concentration in our atmosphere has proportionately increased in step with our industrialisation.

From recent worldwide events, it looks like we are drastically upsetting the weather balance and all that goes with it...

Now, do you know better? If so, please quote your reputable sources.

Regards,
Martin
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Message 501208 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:27:32 UTC - in response to Message 501205.  

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question.

The equation was a bonus response :)

Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (which are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.

If you wish to calculate the temperature increase for here on Earth, then you need only add/subtract the warming/cooling effects of those various other constituents that you allude to.

The simple facts are that the greatest significant constituents are CO2 and water vapour. Especially note that the level of CO2 also indirectly increases the water vapour content and so the CO2 warming effect is thus amplified.

All the carbon cycles on Earth have been very nicely kept in balance for hundreds of thousands of years and with good margin to allow for unbalancing influences such as volcanos.

And then came the industrial revolution that has for the first time in all that time upset the carbon balance on an industrial scale. The CO2 concentration in our atmosphere has proportionately increased in step with our industrialisation.

From recent worldwide events, it looks like we are drastically upsetting the weather balance and all that goes with it...

Now, do you know better? If so, please quote your reputable sources.

Regards,
Martin

The warming effect of volcanos has been overated because the amounts of CO2 released by them aren't actually as much as been released by humans...plus the volcanos also release gases (eg the sulphur aerosols) and particulates that have a cooling effect on the planet.
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Message 501218 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:38:17 UTC

I don't think it's appropriate to make fun of such an important issue - also pretty disappointing to see that people even here and in a more or less scientifical discussion get personal. The internet / community / messageboards could be really useful and achieve a lot, if people would not abuse them for personal childsplay, at least not when it comes to important issues which might decide over the lives of hundreds of millions or - worst case - even humanity itself. Just because the web makes people kind of anonymous, some behave quite strange, IMHO pretty often to compensate problems in RL.

Discussions like these are soooo stereotype - whou would not predict the answers, but the bitter truth is that they are irrelevant. You might be anonymous on the web, do some "rofl, you idiots!" games - but as of today nobody escapes mother nature. Nobody.

If we are unable to prove that we don't just have the brains, but are also able to use it properly earth is for sure better off without us. And since power corrupts the majority needs to make sure our political and economical leaders don't blow things out of all proportions, which again requires brain usage and taking things more serious.

Discussions like these are not about victory and defeat anyways - the informations here can help to change the personal point of view, to develop further, to find solutions. People won't always agree, and people (including me) are not always right, need to reevaluate their arguments and opinions. But pretty often people posting on a message board seem to defend their opinion at all cost, taking it like a battle, trying to win. Problem is that there is no win or loose on a message board besides the "win" through discussing issues with others, getting new informations and evolving his opinion and the "loss" by simply not being able to interact and discuss with others in an open dialogue, but trying to force his opinion.

That spoken I understand the argument about natural and man made climate change. The problem is that you won't have 100% sureness until it's too late. Would you stay in a car on the rails just because you are not 100% convinced that the train will not manage to stop in time?

Btw. another interesting read:
http://www.oilendgame.com/ReadTheBook.html
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Message 501220 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:46:53 UTC
Last modified: 11 Jan 2007, 22:50:59 UTC

@Mac

That link of yours led to a very good article which I've read. I've bookmarked it. THX

If my memory serves me correctly this thread once started over on the Seti Science Boards until someone hijacked it with their silly games. It was brought over to the Cafe so that the baffons could play with the topic in a lighter frame. Unfortunately, as you've noticed, the equillibum has gotten out of balance again, even under the Cafe standards.
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Message 501221 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 22:48:20 UTC - in response to Message 501218.  

Would you stay in a car on the rails just because you are not 100% convinced that the train will not manage to stop in time?



Good point sir...

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Message 501234 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 23:03:41 UTC - in response to Message 501007.  

No, it's just that I am incapable of transfering knowledge to someone with a room temperature IQ, or a very yound child who can't grasp some very basic data or concepts.

Dogbytes you are violating the posted rule, "No messages that are deliberately hostile or insulting."

For anyone posting this behavior is clearly unacceptable.

As a forum Moderator this behavior is shameful.

Please refrain from such behavior in the future.
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Message 501241 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 23:09:03 UTC - in response to Message 501220.  

@Mac

That link of yours led to a very good article which I've read. I've bookmarked it. THX

If my memory serves me correctly this thread once started over on the Seti Science Boards until someone hijacked it with their silly games. It was brought over to the Cafe so that the baffons could play with the topic in a lighter frame. Unfortunately, as you've noticed, the equillibum has gotten out of balance again, even under the Cafe standards.

No..I think this thread has always been here.
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Message 501251 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 23:24:35 UTC - in response to Message 501234.  

No, it's just that I am incapable of transfering knowledge to someone with a room temperature IQ, or a very yound child who can't grasp some very basic data or concepts.

Dogbytes you are violating the posted rule, "No messages that are deliberately hostile or insulting."

For anyone posting this behavior is clearly unacceptable.

As a forum Moderator this behavior is shameful.

Please refrain from such behavior in the future.

The fact of the matter is that I am not qualified to teach special ed or elementary school.
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Message 501254 - Posted: 11 Jan 2007, 23:28:40 UTC - in response to Message 501208.  

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question. The equation was a bonus response :)

Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (which are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.

If you wish to calculate the temperature increase for here on Earth, then you need only add/subtract the warming/cooling effects of those various other constituents that you allude to.
Regards,Martin

The warming effect of volcanos has been overated because the amounts of CO2 released by them aren't actually as much as been released by humans...plus the volcanos also release gases (eg the sulphur aerosols) and particulates that have a cooling effect on the planet.

On other thing to consider:
"NASA released exciting news last month: There is evidence suggesting water under the surface of Mars. If true, this could have important implications for space travel and the possibility of microbial life on Mars.

Pictures released on NASA’s Web site last month show new deposits of a white substance that appeared to flow down two gullies. The photos were taken with the black-and-white camera on the Mars Global Surveyor, which began mapping Mars from its orbit of the planet in 1999.

A comparison of photos taken at the same location in 1999 and 2005 show, at the very least, that something changed on the surface. The simplest interpretation is that subterranean water was forced to the surface and then froze after flowing some distance."
If there is flowing water on Mars then there has to be some water vapor in the atmosphere! It is too warm in places not to have at least some of it evaporate.

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Message 501272 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 0:18:45 UTC - in response to Message 501254.  
Last modified: 12 Jan 2007, 0:25:59 UTC

On other thing to consider:
"NASA released exciting news last month: There is evidence suggesting water under the surface of Mars. ...

The simplest interpretation is that subterranean water was forced to the surface and then froze after flowing some distance."
If there is flowing water on Mars then there has to be some water vapor in the atmosphere! It is too warm in places not to have at least some of it evaporate.

The atmospheric pressure and temperature of Mars is suspiciously near to the triple point of water...

See:
Making a Splash on Mars

Also Mars Atmosphere


Sometimes, you must open your eyes and clear your mind of preconceptions to be able to see. A beautiful example of when this is not done is described by the impossibility field as hypothesised by Douglas Adams.

Regards,
Martin

[edit] And then there is also the SEP-field that has the same effect but built on an entirely different Douglas Adams principle but also one that has great relevance here :-( & ;-) [/edit]
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Message 501352 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 3:18:28 UTC - in response to Message 501142.  


So why is CO2 causing global warming on Earth, when it is not on Mars, despite there being more CO2 in the atmosphere of Mars?


Actually the greenhouse effect does cause significant warming on Mars. It's fairly easy to calculate the temperature that Mars would have without an atmosphere. The appropriate formula is simply

R_sun^2 T_sun^4 / d_mars^2 = 4*e_mars * T_mars^4 / (1 - a_mars)

or

T_mars=T_sun * sqrt(R_sun/(4*d_mars)*sqrt((1-a_mars)/e_mars))

where R_sun is the radius of the sun, T_sun is the effective photospheric temperature of the sun, d_mars is the distance from Mars to the sun, e_mars is the IR emissivity of mars, a_mars is the martian effective albedo, and T_mars is the martian surface temperature. Any freshman physics major can derive this for you.

Now for values: The solar temperature is 5785K, the radius of the sun is 0.696 million km, the mean distance from mars to the sun is 228 million km. The martian albedo is 0.15, and the IR emissivity is going to be larger than 1-a because nonmetallic solids tend to emit and absorb in the IR better than they do in the visible. Let's call it 0.95.

So the mean surface temperature of mars should be 155 Kelvin. The mean surface temperature is 210K, a difference of 55K. The most reasonable explanation is that the IR emissivity of Mars is less than would be expected. If you try to back substitute, you get that the Martian IR emissivity is about 0.28. In other words, mars radiates about 30% as much infrared energy as it should given its surface temperature. That is primarily because of the CO2 in its atmosphere.

Eric

Thanks Eric, I tried to keep it more simple...perhaps not enough. Your post was quite accurate and most enlightening. Very clear and concise.

And then there's always the planet Venus...you want global warming on a hellish scale...


No kidding and Toxic too.


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Message 501359 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 3:28:04 UTC - in response to Message 501200.  

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question.

The equation was a bonus response :)

Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (whaich are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.

... the question was "CO2". You know..."why is CO2 causing global warming on Earth, when it is not on Mars, despite there being more CO2 in the atmosphere of Mars?

You didn't ask about the other factors.

Perhaps you could (as I did) look up words in the dictionary that are deviant from your particular area of expertise.

I think this thread is all about Fun With Global Warming. Not just all about CO2.

You may think it's about what you like.

Most illuminating and quite amusing!

I also see Eric's answer as being very good, beautifully concise, and to the point, and a good eye-opener as to why increasing the CO2 concentration in our atmosphere will undoubtably cause increased heating.

And then I see the FUD squirmings to throw in random buckshot of every jargon shrapnel that can be quickly grasped at to then create a silly ignorant smoke-screen.

Is Global Warming such a fun silly 'game' to some?

Certainly not my kind of fun. There are going to be wars over this. A good question is whether the USA will go nuclear over it... Reducing the population is certainly one fun method...


Thanks to Eric for a clear illustration. Sometimes a few equations can equal many thousands of words.

Regards,
Martin


Well if the nuclear card is played then I guess we won't have to worry too much about global warming...for multiple reasons including the nuclear winter, fallout, and that really hot bang that comes first.


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Message 501363 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 3:32:43 UTC - in response to Message 501359.  

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question.

The equation was a bonus response :)

Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (whaich are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.

... the question was "CO2". You know..."why is CO2 causing global warming on Earth, when it is not on Mars, despite there being more CO2 in the atmosphere of Mars?

You didn't ask about the other factors.

Perhaps you could (as I did) look up words in the dictionary that are deviant from your particular area of expertise.

I think this thread is all about Fun With Global Warming. Not just all about CO2.

You may think it's about what you like.

Most illuminating and quite amusing!

I also see Eric's answer as being very good, beautifully concise, and to the point, and a good eye-opener as to why increasing the CO2 concentration in our atmosphere will undoubtably cause increased heating.

And then I see the FUD squirmings to throw in random buckshot of every jargon shrapnel that can be quickly grasped at to then create a silly ignorant smoke-screen.

Is Global Warming such a fun silly 'game' to some?

Certainly not my kind of fun. There are going to be wars over this. A good question is whether the USA will go nuclear over it... Reducing the population is certainly one fun method...


Thanks to Eric for a clear illustration. Sometimes a few equations can equal many thousands of words.

Regards,
Martin


Well if the nuclear card is played then I guess we won't have to worry too much about global warming...for multiple reasons including the nuclear winter, fallout, and that really hot bang that comes first.

Too political...I'd rather have a 20Km astroid hit us at 50,000Kph and be done with it proper, and let the cockroachs have at it.
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Message 501370 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 4:03:31 UTC - in response to Message 501208.  

Sir, are you the only one who doesn't understand Eric's answer? I thought his answer was quite simple and directly addressed the question.

The equation was a bonus response :)

Oh don't get me wrong, I enjoyed the equations. But Eric's answer didn't include certain gases in the atmosphere (which are lacking in Martian atmosphere), including water vapor, methane, chlorofluorocarbons, and nitrous oxide which cause global warming as well as carbon dioxide.

If you wish to calculate the temperature increase for here on Earth, then you need only add/subtract the warming/cooling effects of those various other constituents that you allude to.

The simple facts are that the greatest significant constituents are CO2 and water vapour. Especially note that the level of CO2 also indirectly increases the water vapour content and so the CO2 warming effect is thus amplified.

All the carbon cycles on Earth have been very nicely kept in balance for hundreds of thousands of years and with good margin to allow for unbalancing influences such as volcanos.

And then came the industrial revolution that has for the first time in all that time upset the carbon balance on an industrial scale. The CO2 concentration in our atmosphere has proportionately increased in step with our industrialisation.

From recent worldwide events, it looks like we are drastically upsetting the weather balance and all that goes with it...

Now, do you know better? If so, please quote your reputable sources.

Regards,
Martin

The warming effect of volcanos has been overated because the amounts of CO2 released by them aren't actually as much as been released by humans...plus the volcanos also release gases (eg the sulphur aerosols) and particulates that have a cooling effect on the planet.


I rembmer that being widely discussed with Mt Pinatubo erupted which for a time caused world wide cooling to occur that was in 1991.

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Message 501378 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 4:22:45 UTC - in response to Message 501363.  

Well if the nuclear card is played then I guess we won't have to worry too much about global warming...for multiple reasons including the nuclear winter, fallout, and that really hot bang that comes first.

Too political...I'd rather have a 20Km astroid hit us at 50,000Kph and be done with it proper, and let the cockroachs have at it.


Well we may get that chance yet...

Update, Dec. 25, 9:47 p.m. ET: The risk of an impact by asteroid 2004 MN4 went up slightly on Saturday, Dec. 25. It is now pegged at having a 1-in -45 chance of striking the planet on April 13, 2029. That's up from 1-in-63 late on Dec. 24, and 1-in-300 early on Dec. 24.

Astronomers still stress that it is very likely the risk will be reduced to zero with further observations. And even as it stands with present knowledge, the chances are 97.8 percent the rock will miss Earth.

Update, Dec. 24, 10:19 p.m. ET: An asteroid that has a small chance of hitting Earth in the year 2029 was upgraded to an unprecedented level of risk Friday, Dec. 24. Scientists still stress, however, that further observations will likely show the space rock won't be on a collision course with the planet.

The risk rating for asteroid 2004 MN4 was raised Friday by NASA and a separate group of researchers in Italy.

The asteroid's risk rating a possible impact scenario on April 13, 2029 has now been categorized as a 4 on the Torino Scale. The level 4 rating -- never before issued -- is reserved for "events meriting concern."

The Dec. 24 update from NASA stated:

"2004 MN4 is now being tracked very carefully by many astronomers around the world, and we continue to update our risk analysis for this object. Today's impact monitoring results indicate that the impact probability for April 13, 2029 has risen to about 1.6 percent, which for an object of this size corresponds to a rating of 4 on the ten-point Torino Scale. Nevertheless, the odds against impact are still high, about 60-to-1, meaning that there is a better than 98 percent chance that new data in the coming days, weeks, and months will rule out any possibility of impact in 2029."

With a half-dozen or so other asteroid discoveries dating back to 1997, scientists had announced long odds of an impact -- generating frightening headlines in some cases -- only to announce within hours or days that the impact chances had been reduced to zero by further observations. Experts have said repeatedly that they are concerned about alarming the public before enough data is gathered to project an asteroid's path accurately.

Asteroid 2004 MN4 is an unusual case in that follow-up observations have caused the risk assessment to climb -- from Torino level 2 to 4 -- rather than fall.


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Message 501381 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 4:37:18 UTC

Ah, Dark Angel I thought: Additional observations through 2006 resulted in Apophis being lowered to Torino Scale 0 on August 6, 2006.

Possible impact effects

It must be stressed that the odds of impact are now known to be very low. Hence, the possible effects of an impact are largely irrelevant.

However, the initial reports resulted in widespread discussion on many Internet forums, including armchair speculation about exactly where Apophis (then known only as 2004 MN4) would hit and what would happen when it did.

NASA initially estimated the energy that Apophis would have released if it impacted Earth as the equivalent of 1480 megatons of TNT. A more refined later NASA estimate was 880 megatons. The impacts which created the Barringer Crater or caused the Tunguska event are estimated to be in the 10-20 megaton range. The 1883 eruption of Krakatoa was the equivalent of roughly 200 megatons.

The exact effects of any impact would have varied based on the asteroid's composition, and the location and angle of impact. Any impact would have been extremely detrimental to an area of thousands of square kilometres, but would have been unlikely to have long-lasting global effects, such as the initiation of an impact winter.
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Message 501388 - Posted: 12 Jan 2007, 4:54:44 UTC - in response to Message 501370.  


I rembmer that being widely discussed with Mt Pinatubo erupted which for a time caused world wide cooling to occur that was in 1991.


That created some very cold summers and winters here for some years, due to the less sun warmth.



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