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Study: Alien life might be non-existent
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James Martin Send message Joined: 27 Jun 06 Posts: 223 Credit: 62,205 RAC: 0 |
look what this idiotic "scientist" (if ever he was one) said: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7351428.stm |
Dr. C.E.T.I. Send message Joined: 29 Feb 00 Posts: 16019 Credit: 794,685 RAC: 0 |
look what this idiotic "scientist" (if ever he was one) said: . . .though he's NOT ruling that factor out completely - which is a 'matter of fact' regarding OUR reason's for being here - Contributing to the Search for the ETI BOINC Wiki . . . Science Status Page . . . |
Knightmare Send message Joined: 16 Aug 04 Posts: 7472 Credit: 94,252 RAC: 0 |
Odd. That kinda sounds like a scientists arguing in favor of Creationism.... Air Cold, the blade stops; from silent stone, Death is preordained Calm Chaos Forums : Everyone Welcome |
Taurus Send message Joined: 3 Sep 07 Posts: 324 Credit: 114,815 RAC: 0 |
Odd. That kinda sounds like a scientists arguing in favor of Creationism.... Huh? How exactly did you come to that conclusion?? And what exactly is "idiotic" about what Andrew Watson is saying?? Everything he said seems completely reasonable. |
Al Send message Joined: 4 Oct 99 Posts: 5832 Credit: 401,935 RAC: 0 |
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James Martin Send message Joined: 27 Jun 06 Posts: 223 Credit: 62,205 RAC: 0 |
meh,just a killjoy egghead lol agreed lol |
Taurus Send message Joined: 3 Sep 07 Posts: 324 Credit: 114,815 RAC: 0 |
I think you guys are misinterpreting what he said; "The view that evolution involves a predictable progression, such that the emergence of intelligence is inevitable, is today generally considered to be overly anthropocentric. "Any directionality to evolution; and, in general, the kind of outcome seen on Earth may be vanishingly unlikely. "On the other hand, the rapid establishment of life on Earth after its formation may indicate that simple microbial life is relatively common." All of that is 100% reasonable. He thinks the chance of intelligence evolving within the lifespan of a habitable planet is 0.01%, I actually think it's much MUCH lower than that; I guessed 0.0001% (1 in 1 million) in my Drake Equation thread http://setiathome.berkeley.edu/forum_thread.php?id=46028 ...and I still came up with 252 transmitting civilizations in the Milky Way galaxy alone. 0.01%, those are decent odds in a galaxy of 200-600 billion stars. |
Daniel Michel Send message Joined: 2 Feb 04 Posts: 14925 Credit: 1,378,607 RAC: 6 |
I like those odds...They don't seem unreasonable to me...It was never going to be an easy search. PROUD TO BE TFFE! |
Clyde C. Phillips, III Send message Joined: 2 Aug 00 Posts: 1851 Credit: 5,955,047 RAC: 0 |
A day is a rotation of the Earth. As far as creationism is concerned, maybe the first days spanned 4.5 billion years. Maybe when God created the Earth He made it spin just once in a billion years. Maybe there could be some reconciliation between creationism and evolution. Just an idea. |
Taurus Send message Joined: 3 Sep 07 Posts: 324 Credit: 114,815 RAC: 0 |
Maybe there could be some reconciliation between creationism and evolution. Just an idea. That's not the same as "Creationism". There are plenty of scientists working in fields closely tied to evolution, like biology and genetics, who are faithful Christians and fully accept the Bible as the word of God while seeing no disparity between the Bible and evolution. Perhaps they rationalize the "days" of creation the same way; that's for each person to reconcile their faith with the findings of science in whatever way satisfies their soul. That's not the same as modern "Creationism". And anyway this article has NOTHING to do with Creationism...I have no idea how that topic even got into this thread... |
William Rothamel Send message Joined: 25 Oct 06 Posts: 3756 Credit: 1,999,735 RAC: 4 |
Daddio has his opinion on the matter at hand. |
Johnney Guinness Send message Joined: 11 Sep 06 Posts: 3093 Credit: 2,652,287 RAC: 0 |
The article seems very credible to me. And Dr Watson's research seems to comply with any search that mankind has carried out so far, including SETI@home. It seems that he is not knocking the idea of other intelligent life, he's just trying to put a more realistic figure on it. If there is intelligent life out there transmitting radio signals, then we should be able to detect it today. There is no waiting game. The only waiting game we are playing is waiting for electronic technology to advance to a stage where we can detect these weak transmissions that are dispersing in space the further they travel. I also think the science community here on earth are in general agreement that its better to not broadcast where you live in space because you don't know if other intelligence is hostile or not. So if we are staying quite, then other intelligent life will be doing the same thing! John. {EDIT} Hi Bill :) |
William Rothamel Send message Joined: 25 Oct 06 Posts: 3756 Credit: 1,999,735 RAC: 4 |
The article seems very credible to me. And Dr Watson's research seems to comply with any search that mankind has carried out so far, including SETI@home. It seems that he is not knocking the idea of other intelligent life, he's just trying to put a more realistic figure on it. Yes, My son. I suspect that we will soon learn that there doesn't appear to be "habitable" planets within 10 light years and maybe at far greater distances. If every alien civilization is not advertising their existence via a beacon then we would have to learn of them from broadcasts or radar or the like. This may not be feasible even within 10- 100 light years, now or ever. So I may soon be at the conclusion that if everyone is silent; then, we will never know of another galactic civilization, and SETI makes little sense. I believe we and others, if they exist, will establish a beacon--once we realize we are at least 100 light years from anyone, we will lose our fear of invasion with hostile intent. How about some comments. |
Johnney Guinness Send message Joined: 11 Sep 06 Posts: 3093 Credit: 2,652,287 RAC: 0 |
The article seems very credible to me. And Dr Watson's research seems to comply with any search that mankind has carried out so far, including SETI@home. It seems that he is not knocking the idea of other intelligent life, he's just trying to put a more realistic figure on it. I don't know Bill. I'm of the view that we need to stay quiet, at least until we have found one other intelligent civilisation and we know they are not hostile. I continue running SETI@home, not because i think it currently has a formula for successful detection, but because i think it will learn from experience and progress into something that will succeed in detecting life. |
thorin belvrog Send message Joined: 29 Sep 06 Posts: 6418 Credit: 8,893 RAC: 0 |
Daddio has his opinion on the matter at hand. Account frozen... |
Mr. Kevvy Send message Joined: 15 May 99 Posts: 3776 Credit: 1,114,826,392 RAC: 3,319 |
This book is a must-read for anyone interested in this subject. Its premise is that life may be more common than expected in the universe (based on the varieties and habitats of extremophilic organisms on Earth) but that complex and especially intelligent life is very rare. I read it when it was published (and even worked it into my profile). It's well-presented and compelling, but, as I also note in my profile, one discovery can overturn a thousand hypotheses. So I've come back to SETI@Home to keep up the search after receiving the recent e-mail indicating a shortage of volunteers. (Note that one of the scientists that the authors consulted is an ID proponent but there's nothing but science in this book. The acknowledgment doesn't appear in the Google preview.) I don't think that there's anything idiotic about suggesting that complex life may be rare. We have only one example of life anywhere, so it's an open question. |
Jim_S Send message Joined: 23 Feb 00 Posts: 4705 Credit: 64,560,357 RAC: 31 |
Opinions are like A$$*#@%S, Everybody has one and most of them STINK. 8-P I Desire Peace and Justice, Jim Scott (Mod-Ret.) |
Jeffrey Send message Joined: 21 Nov 03 Posts: 4793 Credit: 26,029 RAC: 0 |
this article has NOTHING to do with Creationism...I have no idea how that topic even got into this thread... Odd as this may sound, our resident reaper is to blame... ;) It may not be 1984 but George Orwell sure did see the future . . . |
Knightmare Send message Joined: 16 Aug 04 Posts: 7472 Credit: 94,252 RAC: 0 |
this article has NOTHING to do with Creationism...I have no idea how that topic even got into this thread... Oh please.... Perhaps " Creationism " wasn't the proper word to use. It sounds like more of " Intelligent Design ". Saying that things had to be a certain way, and that it's unlikely that it happened elsewhere...sure sounds like an argument for intelligent design to me. Air Cold, the blade stops; from silent stone, Death is preordained Calm Chaos Forums : Everyone Welcome |
Mr. Kevvy Send message Joined: 15 May 99 Posts: 3776 Credit: 1,114,826,392 RAC: 3,319 |
Saying that things had to be a certain way, and that it's unlikely that it happened elsewhere...sure sounds like an argument for intelligent design to me. Not at all. Saying that intelligent life is impossible without some sort of outside assistance or that Earth was somehow deliberately engineered for us would be, but I don't see that's been even implied. |
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