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Message 580890 - Posted: 3 Jun 2007, 19:48:17 UTC - in response to Message 580878.  

An interesting set of videos/pictures. One note: I have a feeling that a flash on the Moon like that occurs oftener than once in 100,000 years. Late 1953 was only 53-1/2 years ago so I have about a 99.95 percent chance of being right.


Well I did a bit of web searching and found this: NEA Population and Impact Frequency
.... Asteroids larger than 1 kilometer are suspected of hitting Earth every 100,000 to 300,000 years, according to widely accepted estimates based partly on a handful of terrestrial craters. But Earth tends to bury or erode the evidence. So the estimate is based also on craters on the Moon, which do not erode quickly but which provide a glimpse into what likely happens on Earth.

Smaller asteroids hit Earth more frequently and can wipe out a city. Objects the size of a bus or smaller tend to burn up as they zoom through Earth's atmosphere, and therefore they pose little or no threat....

A similar source may be where the "every 100,000 years" statistic came from.
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Message 580893 - Posted: 3 Jun 2007, 19:54:17 UTC
Last modified: 3 Jun 2007, 19:54:47 UTC

As a comic aside (obtained from the link provided in the previous message):

PARODY: CHANCE OF BEING EATEN BY WILD ANIMALS GREATLY DOWNGRADED

From an anonymous British correspondent...

Press Release from the Slone Digital Survey, Princesstown University

The likelihood of the average American being attacked by a wild animal has been shown to be much less than previously estimated, according to new results from the Slone Digital Survey, operated by Princesstown University astronomers.

Records of attack rates compiled by mammal experts had indicated that a large fraction of deaths caused by wild animals in Africa are due to hippopotamus strikes. New observations by the Princesstown researchers, however, show that there are fewer hippopotamuses than earlier counts indicated.

Using their new data they have extrapolated the figures to obtain a kill rate for inhabitants of North America.

"Although we cannot be sure that our detections were all hippopotamuses - for example some may have been elephants or wildebeest - we are convinced that our figures represent a much-improved evaluation of the numbers of large gray-brown mammals in Africa" said a spokesman for the team, Dr Neophobius Snobbs. He continued: "While some detractors have criticized us for not including smaller beasts like lions and hyenas in our analysis, so far as we are aware these do not pose a danger to humans."

The team have also dismissed the arguments of public safety experts who point to grizzly bears as being a significant risk. "I've never seen a grizzly bear in Princesstown," countered another member of the team, "whereas I remember seeing a hippopotamus in Central Park Zoo when I was a kid. And that's only a handful of miles from here."

The purpose of the present project was to capitalize on an earlier press release, when much publicity was gained by the team's claim that their detection of a smaller number of main-belt asteroids in the 1-km size range had important implications for the probability of such a projectile hitting the Earth soon. "We were amazed. We never expected the media and the public to be so gullible. Admittedly this is something we know nothing about but, hey, look at all that coverage. So we figured we could pull the same stunt with hippopotamuses".

When asked about polar bears, the Dr Snobbs said that, according to their working definition, white animals cannot be dangerous. "To imagine otherwise would be as silly as thinking that a comet could strike the Earth," he said. "Clearly this makes no sense. We deal with white animals all the time ? cats and mice, mostly - and although a cat may scratch you occasionally, they are not life-threatening." When pressed further, he commented that in any case polar bears live only in parts of Canada, not the United States, and Canadians don't count.

Still other critics have argued that, even if there are a few hippopotamuses in zoos, the hazard they represent is tiny. "This shows a profound ignorance of recent scientific advances" said Snobbs. "Global warming is an established fact. This means that North America will get hotter, and soon will be like the African savannah lands, and so hippopotamuses will flourish in the Midwest." When asked how they would get there, Dr Snobbs said that the time scale involved was some millions of years, over which hippopotamuses would evolve so as to develop wings, just like pigs have now.
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Message 581261 - Posted: 4 Jun 2007, 16:06:31 UTC - in response to Message 500199.  

A few BBC Radio 4 broadcasts (and pages of links) that some might find interesting (listen via Real Player).

****************************************************************************

Listen Again

Science Archive

Recent Science Programmes

Melvyn Bragg's In Our Time (History) weekly Radio Show, general Archive Page, containing:

Science Archive

Religion Archive

Philosophy Archive

History Archive

Culture Archive

****************************************************************************

Here's a small selection of my favourite programmes from the show that some here might also find interesting:

The Speed of Light - a cosmic speed limit?

Galaxies - extra-galactic nebulae, black holes, stars and dark matter

Carbon - the basis of life

Artificial Intelligence - the quest for a machine that can think

Dark Energy - the unknown force breaking the universe apart

The Origins of Life - how it all began

Planets - the astronomy of the 21st century

Theories of Everything - still the holy grail of physics?

Supernovas - the life cycle of stars

The Calendar - a history of the Calendar

ET - new life within our solar system

****************************************************************************

Check out the following BBC Radio 4 interview with Arthur C Clarke:

ARTHUR C. CLARKE: THE SCIENCE AND THE FICTION

If you already have Real Player you can use this direct link to THE SCIENCE AND THE FICTION


****************************************************************************



"Sometimes I think we're alone in the universe, and sometimes I think we're not. In either case the idea is quite staggering." - Arthur C Clarke

Enjoy



Thanks kinhull, I've bookmarked this thread.
Anyway, lol, apt parody in the previous post.
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Message 581286 - Posted: 4 Jun 2007, 17:32:05 UTC - in response to Message 581261.  

"Sometimes I think we're alone in the universe, and sometimes I think we're not. In either case the idea is quite staggering." - Arthur C Clarke

Enjoy

Thanks kinhull, I've bookmarked this thread.
Anyway, lol, apt parody in the previous post.


No problem Kathy, I'm always on the lookout for interesting Audio & Video 'infotainment' that is preferably intelligent (where possible).

I think it could be partly to do with the the fact that I'm too lazy to read too much.

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Message 581332 - Posted: 4 Jun 2007, 19:09:50 UTC - in response to Message 580890.  

An interesting set of videos/pictures. One note: I have a feeling that a flash on the Moon like that occurs oftener than once in 100,000 years. Late 1953 was only 53-1/2 years ago so I have about a 99.95 percent chance of being right.


Well I did a bit of web searching and found this: NEA Population and Impact Frequency
.... Asteroids larger than 1 kilometer are suspected of hitting Earth every 100,000 to 300,000 years, according to widely accepted estimates based partly on a handful of terrestrial craters. But Earth tends to bury or erode the evidence. So the estimate is based also on craters on the Moon, which do not erode quickly but which provide a glimpse into what likely happens on Earth.

Smaller asteroids hit Earth more frequently and can wipe out a city. Objects the size of a bus or smaller tend to burn up as they zoom through Earth's atmosphere, and therefore they pose little or no threat....

A similar source may be where the "every 100,000 years" statistic came from.


Of course a 1-km asteroid hitting the Moon would've caused an infinitely larger flash than the one I saw in the picture. Just remember what happened to Jupiter in 1994. Those pieces were smaller than one kilometer. Had the brightest flash been as bright as Jupiter itself that would mean 121/25 * 4*14 * 10 = 2710 times as bright as the full Moon or about magnitude -21 if a one-km object hit the Moon. Rationale: Jupiter receives about 121/25 as much sunlight at Earth. My guess is that Jupiter's albedo (percent reflectivity) is four times that of the Moon. The Earth is about 14 times as big in area as the Moon. I assumed that the biggest object had 1/10 the volume of a 1-km object. Of course hitting gas and hitting rock are two different animals.

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Message 600716 - Posted: 9 Jul 2007, 5:20:38 UTC
Last modified: 9 Jul 2007, 5:21:50 UTC

Do you remember the Mechanical Universe on PBS? Register and stream all the episodes to your computer with VoD!
me@rescam.org
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Message 621949 - Posted: 18 Aug 2007, 14:48:05 UTC

Just a little BUMP whilst I still have intermittent net access.
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Message 622564 - Posted: 19 Aug 2007, 8:47:56 UTC

Thanks for the bump,

I completely forgot about the cool links in here!
"Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don't matter and those who matter don't mind." - Dr. Seuss
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Message 624478 - Posted: 22 Aug 2007, 20:54:02 UTC - in response to Message 264462.  

...Are We Alone? The SETI Institute's Weekly Science Program.

Older shows can be found at SETI Institute Show Archives

The show in it's podcast format is called SETI:Science & Skepticism

I provide this info for anybody who might be interested - enjoy.


Updated URLs:

Are We Alone? The SETI Institute's Weekly Science Program

SETI Institute Show Archives


And thanks MrGray.
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Message 626050 - Posted: 24 Aug 2007, 23:48:53 UTC
Last modified: 24 Aug 2007, 23:49:08 UTC

Here are a couple of links:



Science Live



Waves Of The Future





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Message 626239 - Posted: 25 Aug 2007, 8:44:29 UTC - in response to Message 626050.  

Science Live

Waves Of The Future


Check out the Science Live Video Wall, essentially the video archive
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