http://pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/step/



PASADENA, Calif. (AP) - Californians wondering if tomorrow's forecast will be sunny can now find out if there's also a chance of afternoon tremors.

Scientists launched a Web site Wednesday that calculates the probability of strong ground-shaking at specific locations over a 24-hour period.

The forecast maps, updated hourly, would be most useful after a temblor strong enough to break windows and crack plaster, according to U.S. Geological Survey seismologist Matthew Gerstenberger, who developed the site.

After a big earthquake hits an area, scientists know there will be aftershocks, but they can't pinpoint when or where. Now residents rattled by a quake can go online and check for the possibility of more jolting in their area.

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http://pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/step/



PASADENA, Calif. (AP) - Californians wondering if tomorrow's forecast will be sunny can now find out if there's also a chance of afternoon tremors.

Scientists launched a Web site Wednesday that calculates the probability of strong ground-shaking at specific locations over a 24-hour period.

The forecast maps, updated hourly, would be most useful after a temblor strong enough to break windows and crack plaster, according to U.S. Geological Survey seismologist Matthew Gerstenberger, who developed the site.

After a big earthquake hits an area, scientists know there will be aftershocks, but they can't pinpoint when or where. Now residents rattled by a quake can go online and check for the possibility of more jolting in their area.

Let me be the first naysayer to say nay!

"Let me be the first naysayer to say nay!" - misfit

Huh. I thought that was my job.

So let me get this straight...

"The forecast maps, updated hourly, would be most useful after a temblor strong enough to break windows and crack plaster ..."

I might be missing something here, but it seems to me - and correct me if I am wrong now - but ... wouldn't this be just a little more useful BEFORE "a temblor strong enough to break windows and crack plaster"????

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- Skeptic - "... and there is no intelligent life in Washington D.C. either."

"Let me be the first naysayer to say nay!" - misfit

Huh. I thought that was my job.

So let me get this straight...

"The forecast maps, updated hourly, would be most useful after a temblor strong enough to break windows and crack plaster ..."

I might be missing something here, but it seems to me - and correct me if I am wrong now - but ... wouldn't this be just a little more useful BEFORE "a temblor strong enough to break windows and crack plaster"????

The warning would be more useful before the shock. However the predictions are more accurate and therefore more useful after the shock.

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BOINC WIKI

BOINCing since 2002/12/8

Ocotillo Wells just had one. I had looked at their prediction map the night before. It wasn't predicted. :)

Oh, I thought the point was predicting the probability of aftershocks.

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Oh, I thought the point was predicting the probability of aftershocks.

well they have been having a lot of little quakes on that fault line recently. Its hard to say what is the original and what are aftershocks. Out here what we need is predicting the original earthquake since thats the largest of the series.

well they have been having a lot of little quakes on that fault line recently. Its hard to say what is the original and what are aftershocks. Out here what we need is predicting the original earthquake since thats the largest of the series.

Can't say that I disagree with you, Misfit. Hoping it calms down as well as improving the detection capabilities.

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