Posts by Darrell Benvenuto

1) Message boards : Number crunching : CLOSED* SETI/BOINC Milestones [ v2.0 ] - XXIII *CLOSED (Message 1147849)
Posted 1 Sep 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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I just broke 10 Million! :)
2) Message boards : Politics : What will really happen when the US Defaults? (Message 1136939)
Posted 6 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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An economics major. I assume you didn't graduate with an economics degree otherwise you'd either be working at McDonalds or CNN either way you wouldn't be having this chat right now.

My goodness, that's quite correct. Once I had taken in the full scope of it, I promptly transferred my Major to Computer Science and never looked back.

It's typically been the Gov't's job to stimulate the economy when businesses and individuals won't buy.

That is a role they have taken upon themselves, it's true, but it is not the reason for which Government was enacted. In a true lasseiz-faire economy there are no bail-outs, only buy-outs.

As long as a less than free market economy like China can flood markets with its slave labor products we will spend decades recovering from the debt and lack of actual production.

While its true there are many political internment and labor camps all across China, the real money and technology is taking place elsewhere, in major businesses working hand-in-hand with their US counterparts. There is no slave labor in those markets, and China's massive, emerging middle class is not composed of what one would call slave labor by any means.

As long as those in Washington DC blame each other for the nations problems thing are unlikely to recover

You are quite correct -- blaming someone or something has no role in finding a solution unless it is to identify the source of a problem that must be corrected. Until and unless real action is taken to create an ongoing surplus that can be used to pay down the National Debt each year, I honestly do not see any hope of progress.
3) Message boards : Politics : What will really happen when the US Defaults? (Message 1136648)
Posted 6 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
Post:
Gov't spending leads to economic growth. If the fed were to stop spending we'd have economic turmoil in no time.

Well, as a former Economics Major, while that is technically correct it is more accurate to say that any spending leads to economic growth -- be it consumer spending, business spending or government spending (which is simply spending of taxed revenue from the other two parties in most cases). The three parties are closely linked. If there is less government spending, but more consumer or business spending, there is no net difference in terms of growth, and possibly a gain or loss depending if the other two parties choose to spend more or less than they would have paid in taxes. Conversely if the government taxes and spends heavily but their taxation causes the other two parties to stop spending and start saving, the overall result is usually a net loss -- the government can't outspend its own tax base in most instances.

But even with all of that said, there is only one real way money is generated in any country that leads to true economic growth, and that is through business. Everything else is trickle-down from that point. The consumer gets income from business, be it job paychecks or return on investments. The government gets income either directly from the businesses or secondarily from the consumer, both in taxes (income, property, sales, etc). More business = more jobs = more taxes. QED.

Therefore it can be easily inferred that onerously taxing businesses, the primary source of revenue to the consumer and government, to the extent of causing them to suffer financially, lay off employees, or even (at the extreme) move the bulk of their money and operations offshore (such as Cisco, Google, etc), go bankrupt, etc., results in a rippling domino effect all the way down the chain, costing jobs and impacting the very tax base that the government subsists upon -- and to make up this shortfall governments can only fall back on printing more money (or via using "quantitative easing" where you use electronically created "virtual" money at banks instead of actually printing more money), both of which results in inflation, and in extremes, what is called "hyperinflation". There's a tale about a man in Germany after World War II who rolled a wheelbarrow full of money down to a store to buy bread. It is said that when he turned his back, someone dumped the money out on the ground and stole the wheelbarrow. Urban legend, to be sure, but it still has a kernel of truth -- there are photos on Corbis of a German woman burning banknotes in her stove because doing so provided more heat than using them to buy other fuel would have done. Another image there shows German children playing with blocks of banknotes in the street. Just think -- in October 1923, German prices rose at the rate of 41 percent per day. And in July 1946, Hungarian prices more than tripled (over 300%) each day.

Hyperinflations tend to be self-perpetuating. Suppose a government is committed to financing its expenditures by issuing money and begins by raising the money stock by 10 percent per month. Soon the rate of inflation will increase, say, to 10 percent per month. The government will observe that it can no longer buy as much with the money it is issuing and is likely to respond by raising money growth even further. The hyperinflation cycle has begun. During the hyperinflation there will be a continuing tug-of-war between the public and the government. The public is trying to spend the money it receives quickly in order to avoid the inflation tax; the government responds to higher inflation with even higher rates of money issue.

I'm not suggesting that we're about to drop into hyperinflation, but all of the quantitative easing the current administration has been doing in an attempt to maintain inflation instead of permitting deflation to take its natural course has continued to steadily devalue the dollar -- to the point now where at the time of this posting one US Dollar is worth LESS than one Canadian Dollar ($0.98), and LESS than one Australian Dollar ($0.95).

It was Calvin Coolidge who said, "After all, the chief business of the American people is business." -- and in this, he was quite correct, although that message seems to have been lost on most of today's Economists. It seems obvious that it is central to the success and strength of any nation that businesses, and the success of businesses, should be first and foremost amongst their governments' concerns if they are to achieve any degree of success at a national or global level. Even Communist China has seen the truth of this, and its ongoing, intense focus on business and industrialization throughout the past few decades has transformed it from a simple agrarian nation suffering from regular famines to one of the world's most technologically advanced and wealthy.

Helping countless Small Businesses get started and succeed is the greatest way to help a nation succeed as a whole. Small Businesses create more jobs and revenue for their size than large companies do. In my opinion, we should follow China's excellent example and promote each of our respective nation's businesses first and foremost, to help the tax base flourish as a whole.

Oh dear, I'm on a soapbox. :\ It must be the lateness of the hour. Sorry, ha ha!
4) Message boards : Politics : What will really happen when the US Defaults? (Message 1136547)
Posted 6 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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I'd love to see all sorts of entitlement reform -- INCLUDING 'rich corporation and rich people' entitlement reform.

Although again I don't want to get up on any kind of a soapbox, when I say I am in favor of a total overhaul of the tax code, I would go so far as to say that what I would be in favor of would include a flat tax across the board, and the elimination of most subsidies and entitlements. When other countries in the world can't afford such entitlements, they simply don't have them -- and while painful to cut after they have been in place for such a long time, the alternative is far worse -- and could well spell eventual economic collapse.
5) Message boards : Politics : What will really happen when the US Defaults? (Message 1136545)
Posted 6 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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If you shrink governments enough, you will shrink the US economy and then you will need to shrink governments (federal, state and local) further - which will shrink the economy further -- you get the drift here right.

Hmmm, I'm not sure that I agree with the concept that making a nation's government smaller through austerity measures will reduce the size of that nation's economy (save in Communist nations where all industry is owned by the government), since it is privately-owned Business & Industry that drives a Capitalist nation's economy, but we can happily agree to disagree.
6) Message boards : Politics : What will really happen when the US Defaults? (Message 1136508)
Posted 6 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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Which of course is very much what the Norquistian/Tea Party cabal running the Republicans in Congress definitely wants to see.

In my humble opinion (but not to get up on a soapbox of any kind), what is needed is a complete overhaul of the tax code plus wide-sweeping austerity measures that result in a large, constant and ongoing Federal Budget surplus each year that will be required to be used to repay the National Debt. Once it has been fully repaid, that extra surplus each year can be taken out of circulation, so as to steadily increase the value of the US Dollar -- OR, loaned out to other nations, so as to generate additional income over time. Wouldn't it be nice to be the one issuing loans for a change, rather than constantly borrowing from others?
7) Message boards : Politics : What will really happen when the US Defaults? (Message 1136497)
Posted 5 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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I for one would rather see Oil and other Big business pay it's fair share before Soc. Sec. takes a hit so in this one I believe I blame the Republicans the most. I don't really understand the whole thing so I won't take a stand quite yet...Like to hear what others with more knowledge think.

While I am no fan of either Party, insofar as the whole Social Security Issue stands, it's not actually 100% correct to blame the Republicans on that particular issue -- the other side of the aisle's hands have a lot more stains on them when it comes to Social Security. Here's a bit of quoted information on all of the changes in Social Security since the early days that I pulled up. It's all below. Personally, I have to point out that any time you have a big pool of money and a shortage of cash, people are going to try and put their hands into that pool. It's human nature. And while I'm no fan of either the Democratic or Republican party, I think we should not let political favoritism get in the way of the facts.

Franklin Roosevelt, a Democrat, introduced the Social Security (FICA) Program. He promised:

1.) That participation in the Program would be Completely voluntary.
-- It is no longer Voluntary


2.) That the participants would only have to pay 1% of the first $1,400 of their annual Incomes into the Program.
-- Now participants must pay 7.65% on the first $90,000


3.) That the money the participants elected to put into the Program would be deductible from their income for tax purposes each year.
-- It is no longer tax deductible


4.) That the money the participants put into the independent 'Trust Fund' rather than into the general operating fund, and therefore, would only be used to fund the Social Security Retirement Program, and no other Government program.
-- Under Johnson the money was moved to The General Fund and Spent


5.) That the annuity payments to the retirees would never be taxed as income.
-- Under Clinton & Gore, up to 85% of your Social Security can be Taxed

--------- --------- --------- ---------

Many people have paid into FICA for years and are now receiving a Social Security check every month -- and then finding that they are getting taxed on 85% of the money we paid to the Federal government to 'put away'.

A lot of the media is pointing fingers at the Republican Party, but the history books are pretty clear on who enacted all of this:

--------- --------- --------- ---------

Q: Which Political Party took Social Security from the
independent 'Trust Fund' and put it into the
general fund so that Congress could spend it?

A: It was Lyndon Johnson and the democratically
controlled House and Senate.

--------- --------- --------- ---------

Q: Which Political Party eliminated the income tax
deduction for Social Security (FICA) withholding?

A: The Democratic Party.

--------- --------- --------- ---------

Q: Which Political Party started taxing Social
Security annuities?

A: The Democratic Party, with Al Gore casting the
'tie-breaking' deciding vote as President of the
Senate, while he was Vice President of the US

--------- --------- --------- ---------

Q: Which Political Party decided to start
giving annuity payments to immigrants?

A: Jimmy Carter and the Democratic Party.
Immigrants moved into this country, and at age 65,
began to receive Social Security payments! The
Democratic Party gave these payments to them,
even though they never paid a dime into Social Security.

8) Message boards : Politics : How the government can be debt free in 6 months (Message 1136494)
Posted 5 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
Post:
Another scenario, which actually seems more likely to be materializing, is the eventual bankruptcy of nations (US, Greece, etc) and national unions (EU, etc), leading to the privitization of national services (police, military, schools, etc) through various mega-corporations, eventually leading to those corporations becoming the de facto governments and powers-that-be of the world. This has been a common theme in most Cyberpunk-style Science Fiction of past years, but aside from all the news articles we've all seen about the financial woes, bailouts and national economies being stressed to the breaking point lately, some recent news pieces that show things are moving in this direction include the fact that Apple now has more available cash on hand than the US Treasury ($76 Billion vs $74 Billion).

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2020490/Apple-cash-USA-Treasury-debt-crisis-continues.html?ito=feeds-newsxml

Regardless of the actual outcome, it is becoming increasingly obvious that, to quote the ancient Chinese proverb/curse, we live in "interesting times".
9) Message boards : Number crunching : CLOSED* SETI/BOINC Milestones [ v2.0 ] - XXIII *CLOSED (Message 1136493)
Posted 5 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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Just passed 50 million :-)

Way to go, John! :) 50 Million!
10) Message boards : Number crunching : CLOSED* SETI/BOINC Milestones [ v2.0 ] - XXIII *CLOSED (Message 1136492)
Posted 5 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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Huzzah! I just passed the 9 Million mark! :)
11) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1136256)
Posted 5 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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(he says, with 9,009,394 now showing below his name :-) )

Exactly. :)
12) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Detecting systems with life (Message 1136254)
Posted 5 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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I think now I did some bad math and the time one way at 30% of lightspeed not allowing for acceleration or decelleration would be 15 years for the crew.

It's actually pretty good that it would be doable in the lifespan of a single crew. Otherwise (for further-away destinations) we have to go to the model of large "generation ships", where you actually have children born and raised in space, the parents dying of old age, etc., and the highly-trained (by then) children taking their place, etc., etc., until the round trip was completed. And of course, with time dilation, even more years would have passed on Earth by the time the ship returned... the argument always was that by the time any such ship made it back from its long, isolated journey, odds were that we'd have developed a level of tech sufficient to make the round trip much faster.
13) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1136246)
Posted 5 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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All quite true. :)
14) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1135959)
Posted 4 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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Looks like we're out of Work Units for the moment.

8/4/2011 10:40:49 AM | SETI@home | update requested by user
8/4/2011 10:40:52 AM | SETI@home | Sending scheduler request: Requested by user.
8/4/2011 10:40:52 AM | SETI@home | Requesting new tasks for CPU and NVIDIA GPU
8/4/2011 10:40:57 AM | SETI@home | Scheduler request completed: got 0 new tasks
8/4/2011 10:40:57 AM | SETI@home | Project has no tasks available


And here with me just about to break 9 million. :)
15) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1135941)
Posted 4 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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Never underestimate dumb! Will a toothpick fit through the mesh? Where there's stupidity there's a way! :-)

Never underestimate dumb! :) That's sage and well-proven advice.

These racks are usually housed at datacenters so the number of roving kids with toothpicks is pretty low. However, the idea of "secure" isn't meant to encompass that level of mischievousness, but rather to stop people from filching one of your redundant hot-swap power supplies, taking your drives or accessing your servers via its USB ports with a roll-up keyboard and monitor, etc.

While less vital in terms of S@H, servers that have financial data, credit card info, or that are transacting business in any way are more likely targets for physical tampering. After all, you can have great network security but if someone slips into your datacenter and walks out with all of your server drives, you're in a far worse spot than if you had a network intrusion.
16) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1135421)
Posted 3 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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Dumb question: What's the purpose of the glass door ?

It's actually not a glass door in that picture -- while some racks that do not have very hot components inside have glass doors, that's not this kind.

This rack is the sort that has a fine steel mesh on the front that allows cool air to be pulled in through it. The heated air is then blown out the back of the rack (which has a similar door on it).

Both of these doors have locks and latches on them -- when closed and locked in this fashion, no one can physically access the equipment inside the rack -- i.e., it's "secure".
17) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1135407)
Posted 3 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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For the curious, a full rack of 64 servers in four C7000 enclosures looks like this:

18) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1135212)
Posted 2 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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A rack or two of fully-populated C7000 enclosures might come in pretty handy.

Total cost?

If they purchased them used, 16 servers in each C7000 enclosure is currently selling on eBay for around $7,000 (see link below). Four of those makes a rack - 64 Servers. But I still think HP would love to unload some of their older inventory that has little chance of selling to have it qualify as a charitable donation.

http://cgi.ebay.com/HP-C7000-BLADE-ENCLOSURE-W-16X-BL460C-BLADE-SERVER-/380355605971
19) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1135091)
Posted 2 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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And on the thread topic, have no problem uploading and reporting. Downloads failing, stuck in retry and project backoffs.

I am not experiencing this issue. I currently have a full set of workunits to process and downloads of new workunits are coming down the pipe. Slowly -- in speeds ranging from 0.89 to 3.5 KBps despite the 35 Mbps data feed here -- but still arriving in due course.

On all of the machines that I have that are crunching, I have always selected the maximum 10-day workunit buffer, which helps them overcome any periodic workunit shortages. If you aren't already using the maximum value for this, you may want to increase the size of your workunit buffer.
20) Message boards : Number crunching : Can't report or get new tasks (Message 1135087)
Posted 2 Aug 2011 by Profile Darrell Benvenuto
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before we consider that, we need to answer a basic question; are we crunching faster than data is being collected at the telescope? I think the three day outage is a pretty good indication that we are.

You're probably right, although in the absence of an authoritative statement from Eric or one of the other project members, all we can do is make educated guesses. On the topic of telescope data, I saw it mentioned in several articles that the GBT generates 60 TB of data a day -- or, more data in a single day than Arecibo generated in an entire year. While most likely our data will be a subset of that overall stream (if the amount described in the articles is correct), even if it is only 10x more data than we had before, once that gets underway we should have no shortage whatsoever of work units to process.


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