Russia in the 21st Century #2

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Message 2150752 - Posted: 28 Jul 2025, 23:23:32 UTC

Not that I'd want to fly on any Russian plane these days.

Pro-Ukraine hackers launch massive cyber attack on Russia's Aeroflot airline, forcing dozens of delays.

Russia's national airline Aeroflot has been forced to cancel dozens of flights, disrupting travel across the world's biggest country, after two pro-Ukraine hacking groups claimed to have inflicted a crippling cyber attack on the carrier.

The Kremlin said on Monday that the situation was worrying, and Russian politicians have called it a wake-up call for the country.

Prosecutors also confirmed the disruption was caused by a hack and opened a criminal investigation, while senior politician Anton Gorelkin said Russia was under digital attack.

"We must not forget that the war against our country is being waged on all fronts, including the digital one," Mr Gorelkin said.

"I do not rule out that the 'hacktivists' who claimed responsibility for the incident are in the service of unfriendly states."

Another member of parliament, Anton Nemkin, said investigators must identify not only the attackers but "those who allowed systemic failures in protection".

Aeroflot did not say how long the problems would take to resolve, but departure boards at Moscow's Sheremetyevo Airport turned red as flights were cancelled at a time when many Russians take their holidays.

The company's shares were down by 3.9 per cent on Monday, underperforming the wider market, which was 1.4 per cent lower.......
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Message 2150762 - Posted: 29 Jul 2025, 9:30:53 UTC
Last modified: 29 Jul 2025, 9:32:11 UTC

This is even better than drones. It doesn't endanger passengers. The jets simply stay on the tarmac.

Russians on their way to vacation spend days in overcrowded terminals. When your government is conducting a special military operation, you can no longer fly on vacation... or anywhere else.
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Message 2150797 - Posted: 30 Jul 2025, 15:45:30 UTC
Last modified: 30 Jul 2025, 16:27:32 UTC

Russia's excessive war spending fuels inflation.
Russia's proficient central bank governor Nabiullina limits inflation by means of excessive interests rates.
These interest rates (until recently: 21%) are crippling Russia's regular economy outside the arms industries.
Putin, called to help, intervened, forced Nabiullina to reduce interests rates somewhat to currently 18%.
This will speed up inflation and increase the problems among Russia's poor pensioners and in rural regions.

Rumours say printing presses are turning faster to output more Ruble banknotes...

Communists and nowadays Russian Mafia have one thing in common: They don't believe in inevitable economic fundamentals that governments can't circumvent by a Tsar's Ukaz.

Russian Automakers Shift to 4-Day Workweeks Amid Market Slump

Gorky Automobile Plant (GAZ), based in Nizhny Novgorod, will switch to a shortened workweek starting in August, the company told the Kommersant business daily.

The move comes days after AvtoVAZ, Russia’s largest carmaker, revealed similar plans due to falling sales.

“With the current high interest rates and lack of affordable financing tools for buyers, demand fell nearly 40% for medium-duty trucks, 30% for light commercial vehicles and 60% for buses in the first half of the year,” GAZ’s press service told Kommersant.

Passenger vehicle sales fell by 26%, while AvtoVAZ’s own sales dropped 25% to 155,481 vehicles.
Putin planned for a worst case of two or three years of war. These stubborn Ukrainians destroyed the timeline. Now Russia's economic problems are accumulating fast; forcing radical reversal; otherwise economic meltdown or rampant inflation will follow. Or, less pronounced, both. Plague or cholera...

Russia's war-fueled economy is running on empty, Central Bank chief warns

An anonymous Russian analyst told Novaya Gazeta Europe that government technocrats are effectively telling Putin it's time to choose between "war or economy."
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Message 2150798 - Posted: 30 Jul 2025, 16:48:41 UTC

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Message 2150920 - Posted: 5 Aug 2025, 22:45:52 UTC

PooTin is still upset that his spy house in Canberra that got canned.

Legal stoush between Russia and Australia over embassy site near Parliament House reaches the High Court.

There may be a touch of the Cold War in the air in Canberra today as Russia and Australia go into battle in the High Court over a new embassy.

The dispute is over a law passed in 2023 which cancelled Russia's lease on the block, which is only 300 metres from Parliament House.

At the time, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the law was needed on national security grounds.

But a Russian spokesperson characterised it as a hostile action, showing "Russophobic hysteria".

Now, the fight has arrived at the High Court of Australia......
He maybe lucky to get some $'s back on the land, but then again......
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Message 2151782 - Posted: 25 Sep 2025, 11:16:03 UTC
Last modified: 25 Sep 2025, 11:18:51 UTC

Russia can't afford to continue the war for years. They can't afford to stop the war either. A contradiction? Reducing the excessive war spending or arms procurement would all out crash the Russian economy.

Can Russia’s Militarized Economy Ever Return to a Civilian Model?

Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine has lasted almost as long as the Soviet involvement in World War II and seems endless. But it must end sooner or later. Then Russia will face the task of putting its entirely militarized economy back onto a civilian footing and redistributing demand from military to civilian industries.

Even if Putin wanted to return to a peacetime economy, the Kremlin has staked everything on the military sector and the mobilization model over the past three years, resulting in Russia becoming caught in a stagnation trap with low growth rates and chronic internal imbalances. Any attempt to rapidly cut spending will result in collapse. But nor can the military machine be fed indefinitely.

The economy has already become entrenched in a model where military rent essentially performs the same function for some businesses and categories of people as oil and gas superprofits did in the 2000s.

Investments are concentrated in the military-industrial complex and often in low-tech import substitution projects.

The current budget framework is crying out for spending cuts.

A sudden collapse in demand amounting to hundreds of billions of rubles would be a shock to military enterprises. [...]

After 2022, the structure of the Russian economy changed dramatically. The budget became the main source of demand. Military spending rose to 6–8% of GDP and began to account for up to 40 percent of the budget, creating a war rent effect.

In this configuration, a painless return to the civilian model is impossible: no amount of fortune can override the unchanging laws of economics.

In other words, it will lead to yet another economic crisis — the fifth in the quarter-century of Putin’s reign.
This is what Eisenhower warned the Americans in 1961: a military-industrial complex that, if it grows too large, too important for the whole economy, will start to influence politics; in the end dictate government's foreign policies to prevent economic crash.
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Message 2151861 - Posted: 29 Sep 2025, 21:12:37 UTC

I wonder how much PooTin blew there.

Pro-EU party wins majority in Moldova election in setback for Russia.

Moldova's pro-European ruling party has won a resounding victory over its Russian-leaning rival in a key parliamentary election in a major boost for the country's bid to join the European Union and break away from Moscow's orbit.

The surprisingly strong performance on Sunday, local time, by President Maia Sandu's Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) against the Patriotic Bloc was a relief for the government and its EU partners, who accused Moscow of seeking to influence the vote.

"This is not just a party's victory — it is Moldova's victory. The European path is our way forward," Ms Sandu said on X.

With all votes counted on Monday, local time, PAS won 50.2 per cent versus 24.2 per cent for the Patriotic Bloc, which had sought to steer Moldova — a small former Soviet republic lying between Ukraine and EU member Romania — closer to Russia......
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Message 2151867 - Posted: 30 Sep 2025, 7:05:45 UTC - in response to Message 2151861.  
Last modified: 30 Sep 2025, 7:08:33 UTC

I wonder how much PooTin blew there.
The Moldovan government, that is, President Maia Sandu, stated Russia invested 100M euros into propaganda for the pro-Russian bloc.

EU aid money for economic development, just this year, amounted to 300M euros.

The pro Russian faction in this country claim they won. They argue the votes casted within the country's borders resulted in a defeat for President Sandu. It's the many young adults abroad who casted their ballots in embassies, consulates all over Europe who won the election for Sandu.

Are these illegitimate votes? I'd say they are legal. Why?

It's the most impoverished country in Europe. The economy is so backward (mostly agrarian; but fertile lands and warm sunny climate) due to decades of Soviet rule, then Russian influence on economy; corruption, embezzlement. It's the norm for young Moldovan adults to live illegally abroad in Europe, working hard, saving money. They don't enjoy the EU freedoms of movement, work permits, social insurance, etc. just tourist visas... Different than refugees from Asia or Africa, if arrested they are promptly send back to Chisinau by plane because they obviously have no grounds for political asylum; Moldova's government cooperates. So, it's the norm for Moldovan kids to grew up with their grandparents meeting their parents once a year or less.

Journalists hinted that the country faced hard past years du to the war in Ukraine and two years of droughts which affected the economy heavily. Russia's war forced Sandu to replace Russian gas supplies with more expensive European suppliers.

In the Russian propaganda all difficulties are due to the pro-Europeans, urging the people to vote pro Russian.
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Message 2151935 - Posted: 2 Oct 2025, 10:54:59 UTC

French Navy Boards Russian 'Shadow Fleet' Ship, Arrests 2

France has detained two senior crew members of a tanker linked to Russia [...]

The Boracay, a Benin-flagged vessel blacklisted by the European Union for being part of Russia's sanction-busting "shadow fleet" of aging oil tankers, was stationed off Denmark from Sept. 22 to 25, according to ship tracking data analysed by AFP.

French military personnel were Wednesday on the deck of the tanker, now stationed off the coast of western France [...]

A military source [...] told AFP the vessel had been boarded on Saturday, with a government source confirming the boarding.

[...] Brest prosecutor Stephane Kellenberger told AFP that two crew members — who presented themselves as the ship's captain and his first mate — had been taken into custody.

[...] the 244-meter (801-foot) vessel is suspected of being involved in mystery drone flights that disrupted air traffic in Denmark in September.

The probe was launched over the crew's "failure to justify the nationality of the vessel" and "refusal to cooperate," Kellenberger, the prosecutor, told AFP.
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Message boards : Politics : Russia in the 21st Century #2


 
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