Posts by William Rothamel


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1) Message boards : Politics : Donald Trump for President? (Message 1697058)
Posted 11 hours ago by Profile William Rothamel
The Republicans are the 'Lesser of Two Evils'.


That would be : "The lesser of two weasels"
2) Message boards : Politics : Donald Trump for President? (Message 1696973)
Posted 16 hours ago by Profile William Rothamel
As New York Votes; so does the Nation !!

I think that Hillary might just be the man for the Job.

3) Message boards : Politics : Donald Trump for President? (Message 1696960)
Posted 16 hours ago by Profile William Rothamel
I think that you are being too cynical. I am backing Bob Blabba for the next president of the United Socialist States of America.

4) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Is Anyone Out There? (Message 1696952)
Posted 17 hours ago by Profile William Rothamel
You Know: Daddio has some knowledge of KY jelly.


5) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Is Anyone Out There? (Message 1695664)
Posted 5 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Yes but we better listen carefully. If we say Huh? we may have just lost 5 million years in the conversation.
6) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Is Anyone Out There? (Message 1695526)
Posted 5 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Hate to reply to my own posts, But:

I heard the fact that 160 people work in the SETI institute (Not SETI@home).

Many, if not most, of these are "astro-biologists" or i presume exo-biologists as i call them.

If so, I would like them to put forth the many conditions for Intelligent life to form so that a debate can start on the necessity and probability of each of these.

In time we can all talk about a Nuevo-Drake equation which more accurately predicts the occurrence and density of intelligent civilizations.
7) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Is Anyone Out There? (Message 1695520)
Posted 5 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Yes Math can prove that aliens exist.

However you must first put forth premises that are accepted and true.

These might be:

1. Life will arise spontaneously on any planet that mimics all of the Earth's conditions for harboring life.

2. Life, once started and given enough time will evolve to intelligence similar to that on Earth.

3. There is at least one such planet in each Galaxy.

4. There are on the order of 100 Billion Galaxies.

5. Civilizations persist for long enough so that at least one of them will be co-temporaneous with us.

Then by modus ponens you will have the tautology that they indeed exist.

This is not to say that they exist nearby, have visited us or that we will ever know where and when they are. We must get to work on proving the first three of these hypotheses true.

The statements which are made by those who make their living and fame in SETI that we will find them in the next 10-20 years have no basis in fact or probability in my opinion.

Since the whole venture abounds in speculation, wishes, religion and curiosity--we should continue our efforts--perhaps in a more co-ordinated, sober and efficient way.
8) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Where are all the aliens? (Message 1695518)
Posted 5 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
I think that it is fair to say that in the near future we can put this "We have been visited "stuff to rest. If we haven't already; we will soon have searched for truly Earth-like planets around all stars out to 100 light years as well as promising moons. If there are in fact any "Habitable" planets that we find we can then concentrate our SETI efforts on these ones.

We will probably not find other venues at these distances with all of the necessary conditions for intelligent life to form. If we do; we won't detect any transmissions or other signs of life if they are not intentionally sending out a focused "we are here" message. if they are then we would have heard them by now.

Speculating that multi-decade trips have been undertaken from these distances and beyond just doesn't make good sense.

To support the notion that life will spontaneously arise in a fertile environment then we desperately need to confirm life on Mars. Either microbial or plant life--perhaps now long extinct.
9) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Where are all the aliens? (Message 1695147)
Posted 6 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Art Bell "Coast to Coast" radio interview, featuring Seth Shostak


Strictly tabloid style hokum for the unsophisticated proles.

SETI is worthwhile. However: unsubstantiated and disingenuous, wild claims are unbecoming from those whom are smart enough to know better.
10) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Where are all the aliens? (Message 1694866)
Posted 7 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
It will take another 80 years or so to leave our solar system. Doubt that we could still hear them ??
11) Message boards : Science (non-SETI) : Pluto is a Planet! (Message 1694668)
Posted 8 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
A stabilizing moon may just be one of perhaps two dozen conditions required for intelligent life to form and survive.
12) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Is Anyone Out There? (Message 1694254)
Posted 9 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
What kind of life and how will we find it if it is outside of our Solar system??
13) Message boards : SETI@home Science : SETI Solar Mini Sail Project (Message 1694252)
Posted 9 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
What are motor counts.
What is the mechanism that converts solar wind to propulsion thrust. How big is the sail. What is the projected thrust--does it exceed atmospheric drag at that altitude.
What is it made of. What application would a working version be used for.
14) Message boards : SETI@home Science : First Signs of the NTPCkr (Message 1693917)
Posted 10 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Apparently the problem is the simple fact that we are storing every scan and processing them after the fact. To my simple mind it would be better to scan them for a significant "signal" as they roll in off of the antenna. I guess that this is where we need to apply massive computing power which we don't have at this location hence the dispersion to the at home computers. Thus we are storing and processing a lot of useless information.

I presume that results are discarded if the crunching at home shows no promise and that only good candidates are stored for later match and analysis (??). What percentage of work units are stored for future matches--or are even the non-promising ones stored .

How did the Allen Array function while it was running ??

Perhaps a half dozen X-box or Wii processors could strip and discard the bad (unpromising) ones right away before they are sent off for further look-sees.

How does the MIP count compare with Active Seti@home processors and these other graphic processors?
15) Message boards : Politics : We can't even pray in our churches safely! (Message 1693534)
Posted 11 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Charleston,

The most gentile and racially harmonious city that I know of. Such beautiful and accomplished people have been taken from the community and from the Nation as well. We will be at a loss for it.

Joe Riley, my classmate in both high school and at the Citadel there in Charleston has done such wonders for the city in his 40 years as mayor. He has embraced the black community and has made Charleston proud of them and their accomplishments.

I see Joe on the news now--looking somber, older and fatigued. In his next few months he will heal the city as we all wish him and Charleston peace and harmony in the days ahead.
16) Message boards : Science (non-SETI) : Black Holes part 2 (Message 1693082)
Posted 12 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Yes the moon is Tidally Locked

You know what seems to be an anomaly:

If the Moon rotates then shouldn't we be able to see it's Dark Side ?

Some people also believe that the phases of the moon are caused by the Earth partially of completely occluding the Sun from shining on it's surface.
17) Message boards : Science (non-SETI) : Communication via a quantum loop gravity string? (Message 1691754)
Posted 15 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
0.4 percent margin of error.


What was the level of certainty for that margin of error and exactly how large was the triangle for the interferometer base.

Stolen from the Internet:
When using distance measurements to probe spatial curvature, the geometric degeneracy between curvature and dark energy in the distance-redshift relation typically requires either making strong assumptions about the dark energy evolution or sacrificing precision in a more model-independent approach. Measurements of the redshift evolution of the linear growth of perturbations can break the geometric degeneracy, providing curvature constraints that are both precise and model-independent. Future supernova, CMB, and cluster data have the potential to measure the curvature with an accuracy of sigma(Omega_K)=0.002, without specifying a particular dark energy phenomenology. In combination with distance measurements, the evolution of the growth function at low redshifts provides the strongest curvature constraint if the high-redshift universe is well approximated as being purely matter dominated. However, in the presence of early dark energy or massive neutrinos, the precision in curvature is reduced due to additional degeneracies, and precise normalization of the growth function relative to recombination is important for obtaining accurate constraints. Curvature limits from distances and growth compare favorably to other approaches to curvature estimation proposed in the literature, providing either greater accuracy or greater freedom from dark energy modeling assumptions, and are complementary due to the use of independent data sets. Model-independent estimates of curvature are critical for both testing inflation and obtaining unbiased constraints on dark energy parameters.


Huh ?
18) Message boards : Science (non-SETI) : Communication via a quantum loop gravity string? (Message 1691632)
Posted 15 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
What about a flat Universe ??

I think that we could measure this. I think that it is curved; and over a very long base we may see that a right triangle has a small amount other than 180 degrees.
19) Message boards : Science (non-SETI) : Dark matter/Dark Energy (Message 1691630)
Posted 15 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
Yes Hubble made the first guess and it has been refined over the years but it is still based on standard candles for distance and redshift for velocity calculations.

What the essence of my idle musing was : is there any other cause for redshift that causes the light to change frequency as it travels through astronomical distances. Learned people have said no--the redshift is caused by receding galaxies and the fact that the farther out they are the faster that they are going.

However, The farther out we go the earlier in time we are observing them when perhaps gravity did not have time to reign in the expansion of the big bang. Hence the contradiction among the struggle between the "energy of the vacuum" and "gravity".
20) Message boards : SETI@home Science : Is Anyone Out There? (Message 1691629)
Posted 15 days ago by Profile William Rothamel
But careful here, else we'll get back to creationism Vs Evolutionism :-)


Yes that's right . That was exactly running through my mind as I composed my reply.

It's easy to see that the intricacies of Nature inspire thoughts of some grand designer.

Nature is that clever in allowing random events over eons of time to create an unfathomable structure and complexity.


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