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US Presidential Race
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Author | Message |
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Kyle Send message Joined: 3 Oct 12 Posts: 7 Credit: 44,145 RAC: 0 |
Trump can't make up his mind, and has said racist/biggoted things in the past, and Hillary is irresponsible and sent at least 22 of those emails while they were marked as classified. I disagreed with Sanders, and I didnt know enough about the other Republicans to really make a difference, and now its Hillary v. Trump. Guess this year wasn't a good one to register for the vote in November :?. What are your thoughts?[/i] |
j mercer Send message Joined: 3 Jun 99 Posts: 2422 Credit: 12,323,733 RAC: 1 |
I keep hoping the alarm clock will go off and I can wake up. ;^) ... |
Gary Charpentier Send message Joined: 25 Dec 00 Posts: 30646 Credit: 53,134,872 RAC: 32 |
You could vote for Gary Johnson just to tell "them" how pissed you are. |
j mercer Send message Joined: 3 Jun 99 Posts: 2422 Credit: 12,323,733 RAC: 1 |
You could vote for Gary Johnson just to tell "them" how pissed you are. Like anyone has ever listened. LOL ;) Low voter turn out should void the election requiring a restart. I dreaming... if I still can. ;) ... |
betreger Send message Joined: 29 Jun 99 Posts: 11361 Credit: 29,581,041 RAC: 66 |
You could vote for Gary Johnson just to tell "them" how pissed you are. Yes but he will not be elected and in either case an undesirable will be president. The choice is a liar or a liar, thief and impulsive bully among other things. I will hold my nose and vote for Hillary. |
James Sotherden Send message Joined: 16 May 99 Posts: 10436 Credit: 110,373,059 RAC: 54 |
I will most likely vomit when I cast my vote. We really need a strong 3rd party person running. [/quote] Old James |
Bob DeWoody Send message Joined: 9 May 10 Posts: 3387 Credit: 4,182,900 RAC: 10 |
This thread is most likely just going to be a continuation of the Donald Trump thread. Bob DeWoody My motto: Never do today what you can put off until tomorrow as it may not be required. This no longer applies in light of current events. |
W-K 666 Send message Joined: 18 May 99 Posts: 19057 Credit: 40,757,560 RAC: 67 |
This thread is most likely just going to be a continuation of the Donald Trump thread. It may have been started because of Sarge's comment in post 1802174 and your thread name. |
Gary Charpentier Send message Joined: 25 Dec 00 Posts: 30646 Credit: 53,134,872 RAC: 32 |
I will hold my nose and vote for Hillary. That thinking is why you get such poor choices! |
betreger Send message Joined: 29 Jun 99 Posts: 11361 Credit: 29,581,041 RAC: 66 |
This thread is most likely just going to be a continuation of the Donald Trump thread. To really make a statement you can hold your nose while vomiting. |
j mercer Send message Joined: 3 Jun 99 Posts: 2422 Credit: 12,323,733 RAC: 1 |
Polling Station ... |
James Sotherden Send message Joined: 16 May 99 Posts: 10436 Credit: 110,373,059 RAC: 54 |
Polling Station LMAO. The new standard for placards on where to vote:) [/quote] Old James |
W-K 666 Send message Joined: 18 May 99 Posts: 19057 Credit: 40,757,560 RAC: 67 |
The latest Rasmussen Reports weekly White House Watch survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 44% support to Clinton’s 37%. Thirteen percent (13%) favor some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided You shouldn't post results from just a couple of polls. Go have a look at the latest polls in Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University say Trump is up by 6%, Marist College say Clinton by 8%. Who to believe? Don't really know, but Rasmussen is generally agreed to lean heavily towards the GOP, so I'll pass on that one. But this weeks trend does seem to be down for Hillary and stand still for Trump. The HuffPost - Poll Chart gives an average view. |
Gary Charpentier Send message Joined: 25 Dec 00 Posts: 30646 Credit: 53,134,872 RAC: 32 |
But this weeks trend does seem to be down for Hillary and stand still for Trump. One has to know these days how the poll is conducted. If they only call land line numbers, they don't have a random sample anymore. Young voters will not be represented and the poll is likely to skew because of that. Calling cell phones is expensive and some polls even have to pay to get answers. That also skews results. With the spread of the polls I suspect the error bars are much larger than what is stated. As to that poll chart, while Clinton has gone down, Drumpf has not gone up! So it appears as if Drumpf is unable to obtain any additional support. It isn't clear if Hillary's loss is to undecided or Gary Johnson! |
W-K 666 Send message Joined: 18 May 99 Posts: 19057 Credit: 40,757,560 RAC: 67 |
One also needs to study, number of those polled, low numbers like ~400 will produce much larger errors than a poll of over 1,000. history of the poll, is it the first or is it an update and therefore shows trends. and probably more importantly who did the poll, are they biased. Like Rasmussen Reports since Mr. Rasmussen left. |
Sarge Send message Joined: 25 Aug 99 Posts: 12273 Credit: 8,569,109 RAC: 79 |
One also needs to study, Margin of error for sample of 400 ~ 1.58 * Margin of error for sample of 1000. Capitalize on this good fortune, one word can bring you round ... changes. |
Gary Charpentier Send message Joined: 25 Dec 00 Posts: 30646 Credit: 53,134,872 RAC: 32 |
Margin of error for sample of 400 ~ 1.58 * Margin of error for sample of 1000.IFF samples are random and all answer when questions are put to them. |
W-K 666 Send message Joined: 18 May 99 Posts: 19057 Credit: 40,757,560 RAC: 67 |
One also needs to study, That's per candidate so in extreme case there could be indication of >3% swing. And I forgot check date and period of poll, it might not be as up to date as you think. Some of the polls in early July covered data collected in most of June, not the last few days. |
Sarge Send message Joined: 25 Aug 99 Posts: 12273 Credit: 8,569,109 RAC: 79 |
Margin of error for sample of 400 ~ 1.58 * Margin of error for sample of 1000.IFF samples are random and all answer when questions are put to them. AND answer sincerely/honestly. However, margin of error is NOT meant to cover these issues. m = critical value for confidence level * standard deviation / sqrt(sample size). Capitalize on this good fortune, one word can bring you round ... changes. |
Gary Charpentier Send message Joined: 25 Dec 00 Posts: 30646 Credit: 53,134,872 RAC: 32 |
Apparently The Voters were lying to The Media. No lies, the media did not use a random sample. That is the real issue with media polls. |
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