300 metre Asteroid with 50/50 chance to hit Earth in 2036?

Message boards : SETI@home Science : 300 metre Asteroid with 50/50 chance to hit Earth in 2036?
Message board moderation

To post messages, you must log in.

AuthorMessage
Profile Scary Capitalist
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 21 May 01
Posts: 7404
Credit: 97,085
RAC: 0
United States
Message 208701 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 3:09:27 UTC

I heard this on a mainstream radio program earlier this week.

Supposedly astronomers in Europe released their final calculations of the probability of this asteroid impacting the eart in 2036. Earlier they feared it may impact Earth in 2029 on its next pass but further calcs satisfied them 2029 impact will not occur.

Has anyone else heard anything of this?
Founder of BOINC team Objectivists. Oh the humanity! Rational people crunching data!
I did NOT authorize this belly writing!

ID: 208701 · Report as offensive
Profile Angus
Volunteer tester

Send message
Joined: 26 May 99
Posts: 459
Credit: 91,013
RAC: 0
Pitcairn Islands
Message 208713 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 3:17:06 UTC - in response to Message 208701.  

I heard this on a mainstream radio program earlier this week.

Supposedly astronomers in Europe released their final calculations of the probability of this asteroid impacting the eart in 2036. Earlier they feared it may impact Earth in 2029 on its next pass but further calcs satisfied them 2029 impact will not occur.

Has anyone else heard anything of this?



Oh good. I'll be dead by then. WHEW
ID: 208713 · Report as offensive
Profile Scary Capitalist
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 21 May 01
Posts: 7404
Credit: 97,085
RAC: 0
United States
Message 208751 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 3:45:38 UTC - in response to Message 208713.  

I heard this on a mainstream radio program earlier this week.

Supposedly astronomers in Europe released their final calculations of the probability of this asteroid impacting the eart in 2036. Earlier they feared it may impact Earth in 2029 on its next pass but further calcs satisfied them 2029 impact will not occur.

Has anyone else heard anything of this?



Oh good. I'll be dead by then. WHEW


Cash in those retirement plans, people! :-) lol
Founder of BOINC team Objectivists. Oh the humanity! Rational people crunching data!
I did NOT authorize this belly writing!

ID: 208751 · Report as offensive
Profile Thierry Van Driessche
Volunteer tester
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 20 Aug 02
Posts: 3083
Credit: 150,096
RAC: 0
Belgium
Message 209045 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 10:27:54 UTC - in response to Message 208701.  

I heard this on a mainstream radio program earlier this week.
Supposedly astronomers in Europe released their final calculations of the probability of this asteroid impacting the eart in 2036. Earlier they feared it may impact Earth in 2029 on its next pass but further calcs satisfied them 2029 impact will not occur.
Has anyone else heard anything of this?

Hello Robert Brooke,

You can find some info about it in one of my posts in the New Astronomy News part 3.
ID: 209045 · Report as offensive
Profile Valuk
Volunteer tester
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 27 Jul 05
Posts: 43
Credit: 5,387
RAC: 0
Slovenia
Message 209046 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 10:28:25 UTC

I heard about that on the TV.Probably i'll start crunching also with orbit@home, when available.
Visit www.e-vss.tk
ID: 209046 · Report as offensive
AC
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 22 Jan 05
Posts: 3413
Credit: 119,579
RAC: 0
United States
Message 209122 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 13:08:44 UTC - in response to Message 208701.  

I heard this on a mainstream radio program earlier this week.

Supposedly astronomers in Europe released their final calculations of the probability of this asteroid impacting the eart in 2036. Earlier they feared it may impact Earth in 2029 on its next pass but further calcs satisfied them 2029 impact will not occur.

Has anyone else heard anything of this?


It's somewhat frightening. Apparently the big question is whether or not it will pass through the resonance keyhole. There's an article in Astronomy magazine that also talks about it a little.

ID: 209122 · Report as offensive
Profile Thierry Van Driessche
Volunteer tester
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 20 Aug 02
Posts: 3083
Credit: 150,096
RAC: 0
Belgium
Message 209139 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 13:35:50 UTC

Some additional resources and articles about 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) can be found at Asteroid and Comet Impact Hazards
ID: 209139 · Report as offensive
AC
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 22 Jan 05
Posts: 3413
Credit: 119,579
RAC: 0
United States
Message 209172 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 14:16:51 UTC - in response to Message 209139.  

Some additional resources and articles about 99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) can be found at Asteroid and Comet Impact Hazards


Yes, good reading. The B612 Foundation and NASA have had good correspondence about this. Maybe a solid plan can be developed to deal with the threat.

ID: 209172 · Report as offensive
Profile Thierry Van Driessche
Volunteer tester
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 20 Aug 02
Posts: 3083
Credit: 150,096
RAC: 0
Belgium
Message 209229 - Posted: 10 Dec 2005, 15:15:03 UTC
Last modified: 10 Dec 2005, 15:18:13 UTC

ESA has also some project for deflecting asteroids, see ESA selects targets for asteroid-deflecting mission Don Quijote
article from 26 September 2005

More info about the DON QUIJOTE mission can be found here
ID: 209229 · Report as offensive
Profile Scary Capitalist
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 21 May 01
Posts: 7404
Credit: 97,085
RAC: 0
United States
Message 210072 - Posted: 11 Dec 2005, 6:18:22 UTC

Finally I get an excuse to advocate nukes on something....
Founder of BOINC team Objectivists. Oh the humanity! Rational people crunching data!
I did NOT authorize this belly writing!

ID: 210072 · Report as offensive
Profile Scary Capitalist
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 21 May 01
Posts: 7404
Credit: 97,085
RAC: 0
United States
Message 210220 - Posted: 11 Dec 2005, 12:25:37 UTC

OH...by the way . Don't forget that there will be some screamer out there that captures the media's attention and proclaims we should 'not pollute space with nukes'......Call me a prognosticator...but that will happen. Sad but true.
Founder of BOINC team Objectivists. Oh the humanity! Rational people crunching data!
I did NOT authorize this belly writing!

ID: 210220 · Report as offensive
Profile Borgholio
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 2 Aug 99
Posts: 654
Credit: 18,623,738
RAC: 45
United States
Message 210665 - Posted: 11 Dec 2005, 20:40:19 UTC - in response to Message 210220.  

OH...by the way . Don't forget that there will be some screamer out there that captures the media's attention and proclaims we should 'not pollute space with nukes'......Call me a prognosticator...but that will happen. Sad but true.


We could always launch the anti-space nuke advocates at the asteroid. :)
You will be assimilated...bunghole!

ID: 210665 · Report as offensive
Profile Scary Capitalist
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 21 May 01
Posts: 7404
Credit: 97,085
RAC: 0
United States
Message 211251 - Posted: 12 Dec 2005, 8:10:34 UTC - in response to Message 210665.  

OH...by the way . Don't forget that there will be some screamer out there that captures the media's attention and proclaims we should 'not pollute space with nukes'......Call me a prognosticator...but that will happen. Sad but true.


We could always launch the anti-space nuke advocates at the asteroid. :)

LOL...do you think they would have enough mass to make a difference? They sure do talk alot. I think that their own opinion of themselves might just carry enough weight to get the job done...

Founder of BOINC team Objectivists. Oh the humanity! Rational people crunching data!
I did NOT authorize this belly writing!

ID: 211251 · Report as offensive
Profile Borgholio
Avatar

Send message
Joined: 2 Aug 99
Posts: 654
Credit: 18,623,738
RAC: 45
United States
Message 211669 - Posted: 12 Dec 2005, 17:26:04 UTC - in response to Message 211251.  

OH...by the way . Don't forget that there will be some screamer out there that captures the media's attention and proclaims we should 'not pollute space with nukes'......Call me a prognosticator...but that will happen. Sad but true.


We could always launch the anti-space nuke advocates at the asteroid. :)

LOL...do you think they would have enough mass to make a difference? They sure do talk alot. I think that their own opinion of themselves might just carry enough weight to get the job done...



They amount of hot air they expell should be enough to nudge the asteroid off course. :)
You will be assimilated...bunghole!

ID: 211669 · Report as offensive
kevint
Volunteer tester

Send message
Joined: 17 May 99
Posts: 414
Credit: 11,680,240
RAC: 0
United States
Message 211891 - Posted: 12 Dec 2005, 21:20:49 UTC - in response to Message 209046.  

I heard about that on the TV.Probably i'll start crunching also with orbit@home, when available.



Do you have thier web site ?
ID: 211891 · Report as offensive
Xanado

Send message
Joined: 25 Mar 00
Posts: 45
Credit: 7,086,573
RAC: 6
United States
Message 224190 - Posted: 1 Jan 2006, 16:16:15 UTC - in response to Message 211669.  

OH...by the way . Don't forget that there will be some screamer out there that captures the media's attention and proclaims we should 'not pollute space with nukes'......Call me a prognosticator...but that will happen. Sad but true.



To be sure, but there's no shortage of politicians who'll use that to their advantage. "Weak on asteroid defense..." and all that.

Nah, given we were warned that 100 megaton bombs would produce craters 19 miles in diameter or something, I wouldn't worry too much about a 300m pipsqueak.
ID: 224190 · Report as offensive

Message boards : SETI@home Science : 300 metre Asteroid with 50/50 chance to hit Earth in 2036?


 
©2025 University of California
 
SETI@home and Astropulse are funded by grants from the National Science Foundation, NASA, and donations from SETI@home volunteers. AstroPulse is funded in part by the NSF through grant AST-0307956.